Hearts xG 2026/27

Scottish PremiershipVerified dataSportSignals rating 1444 11 clips this week

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The Hearts xG picture

Updated 17 Sept 2026, 01:16 BST

Across the 6 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Hearts scored 13 from 9.9 expected goals and conceded 7 from 7.9 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 3.1 goals and the defence conceded 0.9 fewer than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored13

Expected (xG)9.9

Overperformed by 3.1 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded7

Expected against (xGA)7.9

Conceded 0.9 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Hearts better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 13 scored from 9.9 xG, 7 conceded from 7.9 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.