Hearts xG 2026/27

Scottish PremiershipVerified dataSportSignals rating 1463

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1 latest covered matches

The Hearts xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 23:22 BST

Across the 1 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Hearts scored 1 from 1.4 expected goals and conceded 2 from 2.9 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 0.4 goals and the defence conceded 0.9 fewer than expected. Coverage is 1 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

1 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored1

Expected (xG)1.4

Underperformed by 0.4 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded2

Expected against (xGA)2.9

Conceded 0.9 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 7 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Hearts better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 1 scored from 1.4 xG, 2 conceded from 2.9 xGA over 1 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.