Hearts xG 2026/27

Scottish PremiershipVerified dataSportSignals rating 1438 12 clips this week

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The Hearts xG picture

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 19:00 GMT

Hearts have generated 19 expected goals across 11 matches in the 2026/27 season, converting these chances into 11 actual goals. Their attack delta of 5 suggests they are underperforming their underlying shot quality by that margin.

Defensively, Hearts have conceded 16 expected goals whilst allowing 17 actual goals across the same 11 fixtures. A defence delta of 1 indicates their actual goals conceded align closely with the quality of chances their opponents have created.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

11 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored24

Expected (xG)19

Overperformed by 5.0 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded17

Expected against (xGA)16

Conceded 1.0 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Hearts better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 24 scored from 19.0 xG, 17 conceded from 16.0 xGA over 11 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.