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Across the 4 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Guingamp scored 6 from 5.5 expected goals and conceded 3 from 5.7 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 0.5 goals and the defence conceded 2.7 fewer than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 6 scored from 5.5 xG, 3 conceded from 5.7 xGA over 4 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
En Avant Guingamp · X
Ligue 2 BKT · X
AS Nancy-Lorraine · X
L'Équipe · X