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Across the 6 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Falkirk scored 5 from 5.3 expected goals and conceded 8 from 10.0 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 0.3 goals and the defence conceded 2.0 fewer than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 5 scored from 5.3 xG, 8 conceded from 10.0 xGA over 6 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
Falkirk FC ยท X
BBC Sport Scotland ยท X
Heart of Midlothian FC ยท X
SPFL ยท X
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aberdeen | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 6 | 5 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 4 |
Live 2026/27 table.