Falkirk xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Falkirk xG picture

Updated 19 Sept 2026, 17:23 BST

Across the 6 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Falkirk scored 5 from 5.3 expected goals and conceded 8 from 10.0 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 0.3 goals and the defence conceded 2.0 fewer than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored5

Expected (xG)5.3

Underperformed by 0.3 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded8

Expected against (xGA)10

Conceded 2.0 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 9 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Falkirk better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 5 scored from 5.3 xG, 8 conceded from 10.0 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.