Estrela Amadora xG 2026/27

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Updated 23 Sept 2026, 06:30 BST

Estrela Amadora's expected goals performance in the 2026/27 season shows a balanced attacking profile. Across 7 covered matches, the team generated 9.4 xG whilst conceding 9.7 xG. Their actual output of 10 goals exceeded their expected goals by 4.6, indicating clinical finishing during this period.

Defensively, Estrela Amadora allowed 14 goals across their covered fixtures, performing 4.3 goals better than their expected goals against would suggest. This defensive overperformance, combined with their attacking efficiency, shaped their results during the matches analysed.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

7 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored14

Expected (xG)9.4

Overperformed by 4.6 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded14

Expected against (xGA)9.7

Conceded 4.3 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Estrela Amadora better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 14 scored from 9.4 xG, 14 conceded from 9.7 xGA over 7 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.