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Across the 3 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Estoril scored 1 from 3.2 expected goals and conceded 5 from 4.1 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 2.2 goals and the defence conceded 0.9 more than expected. Coverage is 3 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 1 scored from 3.2 xG, 5 conceded from 4.1 xGA over 3 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Famalicão | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Alverca | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Estoril | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Moreirense | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 3 | 0 |
Live 2026/27 table.
