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Empoli generated 5.7 expected goals across 5 matches in the 2026/27 season, converting these chances into 6 actual goals. Their attack delta of 0.3 suggests finishing slightly above expected levels. Defensively, the side conceded 9.6 expected goals over the same period, though 11 goals were actually scored against them.
The defence delta of 1.4 indicates Empoli shipped more goals than their underlying defensive metrics would suggest. Across all competitions, the team finished 10 goals total whilst conceding at a rate that outpaced their expected defensive performance.
Covered sample: 6 scored from 5.7 xG, 11 conceded from 9.6 xGA over 5 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
Empoli Football Club Official · X
Modena F.C. Official · X