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Crewe Alexandra generated 1.8 expected goals across 3 matches in the 2025/26 season, scoring 1 goal from those chances. Their attacking performance sits 0.8 below expectation. Defensively, they conceded 4.2 expected goals whilst allowing 5 actual goals, representing a 0.8 underperformance in chance prevention.
The team's overall finishing record shows 10 total goals scored against the 1 goal created from high-quality opportunities in the covered matches. This suggests conversion from lower-quality chances has supplemented their expected goal output during this period.
Covered sample: 1 scored from 1.8 xG, 5 conceded from 4.2 xGA over 3 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
