Cheltenham Town xG 2025/26

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5 latest covered matches

The Cheltenham Town xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 19:14 BST

Across the 5 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Cheltenham Town scored 5 from 4.1 expected goals and conceded 12 from 6.9 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 0.9 goals and the defence conceded 5.1 more than expected. Coverage is 5 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

5 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored5

Expected (xG)4.1

Overperformed by 0.9 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded12

Expected against (xGA)6.9

Conceded 5.1 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 5 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Cheltenham Town better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 5 scored from 4.1 xG, 12 conceded from 6.9 xGA over 5 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.