Chelsea xG 2025/26

Premier LeagueVerified dataSportSignals rating 1572WLDWL

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3 latest covered matches

The Chelsea xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 14:10 BST

Across the 6 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Chelsea scored 5 from 7.1 expected goals and conceded 11 from 8.7 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 2.1 goals and the defence conceded 2.3 more than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored5

Expected (xG)7.1

Underperformed by 2.1 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded11

Expected against (xGA)8.7

Conceded 2.3 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 7 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Chelsea better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 5 scored from 7.1 xG, 11 conceded from 8.7 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.