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Across the 1 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Celta Fortuna scored 1 from 0.4 expected goals and conceded 2 from 1.6 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 0.6 goals and the defence conceded 0.4 more than expected. Coverage is 1 of 3 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 1 scored from 0.4 xG, 2 conceded from 1.6 xGA over 1 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
