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Across the 10 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Cagliari scored 9 from 10.3 expected goals and conceded 15 from 16.9 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 1.3 goals and the defence conceded 1.9 fewer than expected. Coverage is 10 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 9 scored from 10.3 xG, 15 conceded from 16.9 xGA over 10 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
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