SportSignals

Bolton Wanderers xG 2025/26

League OneVerified dataSportSignals rating 1561
Recent form
W-D-L-W-L
5 latest covered matches
Latest result
W 4-1 v Stockport County
24 May 2026
Next fixture
at Sheffield Wednesday
Sat 8 Aug, 15:00
Availability
No recorded injuries
Missing data is not treated as confirmation

The Bolton Wanderers xG picture

Updated

Across the 4 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Bolton Wanderers scored 12 from 8.0 expected goals and conceded 5 from 6.0 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 4.0 goals and the defence conceded 1.0 fewer than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

4 covered matches
Attack: goals vs expected
Goals scored12
Expected (xG)8
Overperformed by 4.0 goals in covered matches
Defence: conceded vs expected
Goals conceded5
Expected against (xGA)6
Conceded 1.0 fewer than expected in covered matches
xG difference, last 4 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Bolton Wanderers better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 12 scored from 8.0 xG, 5 conceded from 6.0 xGA over 4 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.