Basel xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Basel xG picture

Updated 3 Nov 2026, 06:46 GMT

Across the 12 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Basel scored 18 from 14.4 expected goals and conceded 22 from 15.4 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 3.6 goals and the defence conceded 6.6 more than expected. Coverage is 12 of 12 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

12 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored18

Expected (xG)14.4

Overperformed by 3.6 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded22

Expected against (xGA)15.4

Conceded 6.6 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Basel better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 18 scored from 14.4 xG, 22 conceded from 15.4 xGA over 12 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.