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Across the 6 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Arouca scored 8 from 4.7 expected goals and conceded 5 from 8.2 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 3.3 goals and the defence conceded 3.2 fewer than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 8 scored from 4.7 xG, 5 conceded from 8.2 xGA over 6 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
Liga Portugal ยท X
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela Amadora | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Braga | 5 | 10 |
Live 2026/27 table.