Al Nassr xG 2025/26

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5 latest covered matches

The Al Nassr xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 14:10 BST

Across the 6 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Al Nassr scored 14 from 9.6 expected goals and conceded 7 from 5.2 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 4.4 goals and the defence conceded 1.8 more than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored14

Expected (xG)9.6

Overperformed by 4.4 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded7

Expected against (xGA)5.2

Conceded 1.8 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 6 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Al Nassr better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 14 scored from 9.6 xG, 7 conceded from 5.2 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.