Al Nassr xG 2026/27

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The Al Nassr xG picture

Updated 13 Sept 2026, 07:30 BST

Al Nassr generated 11.2 expected goals across 7 covered matches in the 2026/27 season, whilst conceding 4.8. Their attack differential of 4.8 suggests they created substantially better chances than opponents, though their defence differential of 2.2 indicates room for improvement in limiting opposition opportunities.

The team converted 10 goals from their expected output, with 16 goals scored across covered fixtures and 7 conceded. This finishing record relative to expected goals provides insight into clinical efficiency and defensive solidity during the measured period.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

7 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored16

Expected (xG)11.2

Overperformed by 4.8 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded7

Expected against (xGA)4.8

Conceded 2.2 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Al Nassr better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 16 scored from 11.2 xG, 7 conceded from 4.8 xGA over 7 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.