Al Nassr xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Al Nassr xG picture

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 GMT

Al Nassr generated 19.9 expected goals across 11 covered matches in the 2026/27 season, converting these chances into 28 actual goals. Their attack delta of 8.1 indicates they finished significantly above their expected output. Defensively, the team conceded 9.2 expected goals whilst allowing 11 actual goals, with a defence delta of 1.8 suggesting marginally worse defensive performance than underlying metrics suggested.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

11 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored28

Expected (xG)19.9

Overperformed by 8.1 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded11

Expected against (xGA)9.2

Conceded 1.8 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Al Nassr better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 28 scored from 19.9 xG, 11 conceded from 9.2 xGA over 11 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.