AGF xG 2026/27

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The AGF xG picture

Updated 18 Sept 2026, 14:18 BST

Across the 8 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, AGF scored 9 from 12.3 expected goals and conceded 15 from 11.9 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 3.3 goals and the defence conceded 3.1 more than expected. Coverage is 8 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

8 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored9

Expected (xG)12.3

Underperformed by 3.3 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded15

Expected against (xGA)11.9

Conceded 3.1 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are AGF better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 9 scored from 12.3 xG, 15 conceded from 11.9 xGA over 8 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.