Ollie Watkins xG
FIT
8Apps
1Goals
1.8xG
0Assists
6.7Rating
Club
Aston Villa
Premier League
Role
Centre Forward
Shirt 11
Verified scope
2025/2026 · 8 apps
Derived from match records
Availability
No active injury record
Missing data not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 16 Jul 2026, 17:00 BST
The Watkins finishing picture
UpdatedOllie Watkins has 1.8 expected goals and 1 actual goal in the covered sample of 8 appearances, a shortfall of 0.8.
Output and chance quality are broadly in line.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals vs expected goals
Per-match xG, last 5 covered appearances
xG by match (pink = scored)
0.421 Feb 2026
0.127 Feb 2026
0.24 Mar 2026
0.822 Mar 2026
0.212 Apr 2026
Season sample summary
Goals1
Expected goals (xG)1.8
Finishing delta-0.8
Assists0
Model readOutput in line with chances
Finishing profile
Shot coordinates: ingest pending, dots land when shot-level data arrives
Shots in sample14
On target2 (14%)
Goals1
xG per shot0.13
Conversion7% of 14 attempts