Oliver McBurnie xG
FIT
Club
Hull City
EFL Championship
Role
Centre Forward
Shirt 9
Availability
No active injury record
Missing data not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 1 Aug 2026, 18:34 BST
The McBurnie finishing picture
UpdatedOliver McBurnie has 2.6 expected goals and 0 actual goals in the covered sample of 7 appearances, a shortfall of 2.6.
Chance quality has run ahead of output; when finishing lags xG this far the model reads it as cold variance until the underlying numbers move.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals vs expected goals
Per-match xG, last 5 covered appearances
xG by match (pink = scored)
0.110 Mar 2026
0.314 Mar 2026
1.221 Mar 2026
0.36 Apr 2026
0.611 Apr 2026
Season sample summary
Goals0
Expected goals (xG)2.6
Finishing delta-2.6
Assists0
Model readCold variance, not decline
Finishing profile
Shot coordinates: ingest pending, dots land when shot-level data arrives
Shots in sample18
On target8 (44%)
Goals1
xG per shot0.14
Conversion6% of 18 attempts