Lucas Akins xG
FIT
9Apps
4Goals
2.2xG
1Assists
7.3Rating
Club
Mansfield Town
League One
Role
Centre Forward
Shirt 7
Verified scope
2025/2026 · 9 apps
Derived from match records
Availability
No active injury record
Missing data not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 18 Jul 2026, 02:15 BST
The Akins finishing picture
UpdatedLucas Akins has 2.2 expected goals and 4 actual goals in the covered sample of 9 appearances, a surplus of 1.8.
Output has run ahead of chance quality, which the model treats as a hot run rather than a new baseline.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals vs expected goals
Per-match xG, last 5 covered appearances
xG by match (pink = scored)
0.117 Mar 2026
1.021 Mar 2026
0.06 Apr 2026
0.111 Apr 2026
0.114 Apr 2026
Season sample summary
Goals4
Expected goals (xG)2.2
Finishing delta+1.8
Assists1
Model readHot run, not a new baseline
Finishing profile
Shot coordinates: ingest pending, dots land when shot-level data arrives
Shots in sample12
On target19 (158%)
Goals4
xG per shot0.18
Conversion33% of 12 attempts