Lommel SK vs Westerlo result and match review

Last updated 16 August 2026. Right, let's get into this one. Lommel SK host Westerlo on Sunday 23 August at 15:00 UK time, and on paper you might scroll past it. Belgian Pro League, early season, two sides nobody's putting on a banner. But look at the fixtures, and look at the form, and there's actually a decent story here. Westerlo are in absolute bits. Lommel are unbeaten. Something has to give.

Where Both Sides Are At

Lommel sit twelfth in the table after one game played. One draw, one point, goal difference of zero. Modest, yeah. But here's the thing. Their only result this season was a 1-1 draw, and their form data tells you they've been solid enough not to lose. Zero losses in their last five across all contexts. That's not a side falling apart. That's a side finding its feet.

Westerlo though... mate. They are bottom of the league. Sixteenth place. Two games played, two losses, three goals scored, eight conceded. Goal difference of minus five already and we're barely into August. That is a horrible start. Look at their last ten games overall and it reads W, D, L, L, W, L, D, L, L, L. Seven defeats in ten. A momentum slope sitting at minus 0.13. The vibes are not good in the Westerlo camp. Not good at all.

The Numbers That Actually Matter

Honestly, I looked at the numbers for once and even I raised an eyebrow. Westerlo's away form over their last five is two wins, zero draws, three losses. Goals for: five. Goals against: eight. So they can score on the road, but they're leaking goals like a broken tap. Their last five away results read L, L, W, L, W. That's scrappy. Win one, lose one, never settle.

Now here's the bit that gets interesting for the betting heads. Westerlo's overall last ten games show a BTTS rate of sixty percent and an over 2.5 rate of seventy percent. Seventy percent! That's not a quiet team. That's a team involved in goals one way or another. Lommel's one game this season ended 1-1, so BTTS in one hundred percent of their matches too. Two sides who have both scored and conceded in every game they've played. You see where I'm going with this.

The Westerlo Problem

Look, Westerlo's home form over the last five is genuinely alarming. Zero wins, one draw, four losses at home. Goals for: eight. Goals against: sixteen. Sixteen goals against at home in five games. That is a defence held together with hope and gaffer tape. Now they're travelling away, which has historically been slightly kinder to them, but their momentum slope in away games sits at minus 0.6. Negative. Dropping. This is a team sliding in the wrong direction at pace.

There are no injury reports in the data available right now, so we can't point to specific absences. But you don't concede eight goals in two league games because everyone is fit and firing. Something is wrong there structurally... or whatever word Connor would use if he was trying to sound clever on the panel.

Lommel's Big Chance

Lommel have not lost a game in their recent data. They drew their opener. They're at home. They're facing a side with no points, no confidence, and a backline shipping goals for fun. If there is ever a game to get your first win of the season, this is it. Home crowd, winnable opponent, momentum on your side even if it's only a flat line rather than a positive slope.

The thing is though, Lommel aren't exactly banging them in either. One goal scored this season. Their xG numbers suggest they're not creating loads of clear chances. So this isn't going to be a five-nil hammering. But a narrow home win? A 2-1 or a 1-0? That feels very much on the cards.

Jay's Take and the Acca Corner

Right. I'm going big on this. Lommel to win. I genuinely reckon they get their first three points here. Westerlo are in freefall, the away data backs it up, and Lommel have home advantage with a point already in the bag to settle the nerves. That's the foundation of any sensible bet here.

But you know me. Sensible is boring. So for the Saturday Special acca this weekend, I'm sticking Lommel win and BTTS in there. Because both teams have scored in literally every game in the data we have. Westerlo score goals even when they're getting battered. Eight goals scored away in their last five even with three losses. Lommel gave up a goal in their draw. BTTS at whatever price the bookies offer feels like a gift. Don't @ me if Lommel keep a clean sheet. It happens.

I'd also have a cheeky look at over 2.5 goals. Seventy percent hit rate for Westerlo over their last ten overall. Lommel's only game ended 1-1 which doesn't help the case, but combined with what Westerlo bring to every match... there's goals in this one. You heard it here first.

Correct score punt for the brave? I'm saying 2-1 to Lommel. Scenes if it lands. Back to the drawing board if it doesn't. That's the acca life.

The Verdict

Lommel SK are not world-beaters. But they are unbeaten, they are at home, and they are facing a Westerlo side that has conceded eight goals in two games and is already in genuine trouble at the bottom of the Belgian Pro League. Early season madness aside, the logic here points one way. Lommel win, both teams score, more than two goals in the game. That's the call. Sunday at three o'clock. Let's see if the football gods are feeling kind for once.