HeartsvSturm Graz
totals · Model 50%
Under 2.5 goals
2.45+9.6ppBetfair
Model rates Under 2.5 at 50%; market implies 41%.
Hearts vs Sturm Graz
Top picks from this match
★ Best edge today · +4.1pp
AI-derived signals · best UKGC price
HEAvSTU
Value+4.1pp
Sturm Grazto win
4.00bwin
HEAvSTU
xG lean
Heartsto win
1.83bwin
HEAvSTU
Both teams to score+8.8pp
BTTS · No
2.40betvictor
HEAvSTU
Anytime scorer
Rogers Mato
5.50bet365
Value & facts
Best SportSignals+ signals for this match
5 value rows5 player props
#1Elite EVPlayer propOnly bet365 currently prices this lineTue 28 Jul, 18:459m ago
Sturm Graz
Jon Gorenc Stankovic
Anytime goalscorer
+14.7 pp93% confidence
Probability gap
The model sees this price as a big outlierModel18.1%
Implied3.4%
Model is 14.7 pp above the market.
Available price
Fair 113/25
EV
The model sees this price as a big outlier
Edge
+14.7
Last 5
20%
Last 10
20%
Last 20
20%
MissMissMissHitMiss
Form & xG · last 6 games
Rolling across all competitionsThis is a Champions League qualifier replay after Sturm's dominant 4-0 home win. Hearts sit 13 points adrift in the head-to-head goal difference. Sturm's unbeaten streak and superior defensive record contrast sharply with Hearts' vulnerability. Our model suggests Sturm enter as clear favourites given recent trajectory and the psychological weight of their previous encounter.
⚡ Top performers
No props yetPlayer-prop prices will appear closer to kickoff.
📊 Match preview and data context
Hearts host Sturm Graz in the UEFA Champions League on 28 July at 18:45 UTC. Our model backs Hearts at 45% probability, with best odds of 1.75 on Betfair. Hearts have drawn three of their last five matches with both teams scoring in all five outings, while Sturm Graz arrive unbeaten in five, winning three. The Austrian side won their sole previous meeting. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This is a Champions League qualifier replay after Sturm's dominant 4-0 home win. Hearts sit 13 points adrift in the head-to-head goal difference. Sturm's unbeaten streak and superior defensive record contrast sharply with Hearts' vulnerability. Our model suggests Sturm enter as clear favourites given recent trajectory and the psychological weight of their previous encounter.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Hearts v Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League · 28/07/2026, 19:45:00
Frequently asked questions
When is Hearts vs Sturm Graz and where is it played?
Hearts vs Sturm Graz takes place on Tuesday 28 July at 19:45 (UK time) in the UEFA Champions League.What is the prediction for Hearts vs Sturm Graz?
Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals (totals), with around 50% confidence, best priced at 2.45 with betfair. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.Where is the betting value in Hearts vs Sturm Graz?
Our model flags Sturm Graz to win as the value pick — around +4.1 percentage points above the market's implied probability — best priced at 4.00 with bwin. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.What is the head-to-head record between Hearts and Sturm Graz?
In their last 1 meetings, Hearts won 0, Sturm Graz won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1.How can I watch Hearts vs Sturm Graz?
Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for UEFA Champions League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.Are SportSignals predictions for Hearts vs Sturm Graz free?
Yes. Our AI predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Hearts vs Sturm Graz are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.