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Austrian Bundesliga · MW10

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
25 Oct
STU 46%Draw 26%RIE 28%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Sturm Graz or Ried?

Sturm Graz vs Ried kicks off UK time in the Austrian Bundesliga. Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No at a 46.6% modelled probability.

Match intelligence · not a tip

STU has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
STU45.6%
Draw26.1%
RIE28.3%
BTTS yes53.4%

Updated

Over 2.551.1%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
6.8
xG for
5▼ -1.8
Goals
12.3
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
9.8
xG for
11▲ +1.2
Goals
9.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Sturm GrazNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Sturm Graz recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L00.41
2W22.42
3L00.58
4D00.80
5W22.17
6L10.46
RiedNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Ried recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.65
2W44.36
3D10.65
4L20.82
5W11.76
6L10.54
Sturm Graz have taken more points than their chances were worth: 7 points against 5.2 expected. Ried have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 7.7 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Sturm Graz generated 6.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 5, 1.8 below that chance total. Ried generated 9.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 1.2 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

STU: 6 matches · RIE: 6
Recent team comparison. Sturm Graz sample 6; Ried sample 6.
MeasureSturm GrazRied
Goals / game0.831.83
Conceded / game1.671.67
xG / game1.131.63
xG conceded / game2.051.63
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Sturm Graz v Ried

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~12:30
STU11 starters
53Khudyakov
17Karic
2Mitchell
30Koller
5Vallci
23Malic
43Hödl
4Stankovic
22Beck
39Weinhandl
20Jatta
RIE11 starters
1Leitner
30Steurer
5Havenaar
23Sollbauer
28Bajlicz
6Maart
12Bajic
47Aisowieren
8Rasner
17Pomer
7Mutandwa
Out / doubtful
🩹 Seedy Jatta injury · ❓ Axel Kayombo suspended · ❓ Niklas Geyrhofer suspended · 🩹 Filip Rózga injury · 🩹 Otar Kiteishvili injury · 🩹 Gizo Mamageishvili injury · 🩹 Albert Vallci injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Sturm Graz v Ried · Austrian Bundesliga ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Sturm Graz vs Ried?
    Sturm Graz vs Ried takes place on Sunday 25 October at 13:30 (UK time) in the Austrian Bundesliga.
  • Who is the model backing in Sturm Graz vs Ried?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No (btts), with around 47% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • How can I watch Sturm Graz vs Ried?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Austrian Bundesliga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Sturm Graz vs Ried free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Sturm Graz vs Ried are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 25 Oct, 13:30 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.