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Swiss Super League · MW10Ref: Hajrim Qovanaj
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Zürich 4-2 Thun result, stats and report

Zürich
Won · xG 0.96
4 – 2
FT 06:36
Lost · xG 1.11
Thun
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Young Boys v Zürich · Sun 1 Nov · Lausanne Sport v Thun · Sun 1 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ZürichThunSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives Zürich win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ZUR
42.2%
Draw
22.0%
THU
35.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
71.1%
Over 2.5 goals
72.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Zürich win was the highest probability; the match result was Zürich win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
22%
36%
42.2%ZUR
22.0%Draw
35.8%THU

Both Teams to Score

71%
Yes 71.1%No 28.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

72%
Yes 72.2%No 27.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
51%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
4.8%
3-2
4.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ZUR or draw at 55.1%; the most likely half-time state is ZUR leading at half-time at 38.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.6%.

Double Chance

1X
55.1%
12
2.9%
X2
42.0%

Half-Time Result

ZUR
38.8%
Draw
33.6%
THU
27.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ZUR
Draw
THU
ZUR
27.1%
5.6%
3.7%
Draw
13.9%
12.3%
9.0%
THU
2.9%
5.8%
19.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.6%
No
87.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.