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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW8Ref: Tomasz Kwiatkowski
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Zagłębie Lubin 2-1 Katowice result, stats and report

2 – 1
FT 14:45
Next: Zagłębie Lubin v Korona Kielce · Mon 2 Nov · Katowice v Widzew Lodz · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Zagłębie LubinKatowicePolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Zagłębie Lubin win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ZAG
37.5%
Draw
26.7%
KAT
35.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.9%
Over 2.5 goals
49.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Zagłębie Lubin win was the highest probability; the match result was Zagłębie Lubin win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
27%
36%
37.5%ZAG
26.7%Draw
35.8%KAT

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.9%No 46.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 49.0%No 51.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
7.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ZAG or draw at 48.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.2%.

Double Chance

1X
48.4%
12
7.6%
X2
44.0%

Half-Time Result

ZAG
29.4%
Draw
41.4%
KAT
29.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ZAG
Draw
KAT
ZAG
19.6%
5.3%
2.8%
Draw
14.3%
17.4%
11.4%
KAT
2.8%
5.9%
20.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.2%
No
95.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.