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EFL Championship · MW8 STōK Cae Ras, WrecsamRef: Gavin Ward
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Wrexham 2-1 Southampton result, stats and report

Wrexham
Wrexham
Won · xG 0.75
2 – 1
FT 04:05
Southampton
Lost · xG 1.46
Southampton
Match review
Next: Sheffield Utd v Wrexham · Fri 30 Oct · Southampton v QPR · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Wrexham vs Southampton?

Wrexham 2-1 Southampton, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Southampton won it.

How it played out

Wrexham won it 2–1

WrexhamSouthampton

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 04:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Wrexham 2–1 Southampton

Wrexham nicked all three points against the run of play as a Keven Schlotterbeck own goal in the 89th minute settled a chaotic finish at the Racecourse Ground, despite Southampton creating the better chances across ninety minutes.

EFL ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Wrexham beat Southampton 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
K
35'⚽
Kieffer Moore
BAssist: Ben Whiteman
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Wrexham 0.75 xGSouthampton 1.46 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Southampton to win

45%Missed

Result

Wrexham2:1Southampton

Wrexham v Southampton

Our model leaned Southampton to win at 45%. Wrexham 2-1 Southampton. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Southampton are favoured in Saturday's Championship clash at Stōk Cae Ras, with our model backing an away win at 45 per cent probability. Kickoff is 14:00 UTC. Wrexham have won once in their last five matches with two draws and two losses; Southampton have won once in five but have conceded in all recent outings. The sides have met once before, with Southampton taking the victory. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Wrexham v Southampton · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. James Ward-Prowse★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min8.0
  2. Kieffer MooreWrexham1 goal · 72 min7.7
  3. Flynn DownesSouthampton90 min7.2
  4. Zak VynerWrexham90 min7.1
  5. Callum DoyleWrexham90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

WrexhamSouthamptonEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Southampton win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Wrexham
29.0%
Draw
25.7%
Southampton
45.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.6%
Over 2.5 goals
51.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Southampton win was the highest probability; the match result was Wrexham win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-5is the most common scoreline between Wrexham and Southampton, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (100%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches at home unbeaten for Wrexham.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 13league matches away from home unbeaten for Southampton.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Wrexham scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Southampton scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Wrexham have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Southampton have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jacques Ekomié has the highest listed average xGOT for Wrexham at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Divin Mubama has the highest listed average xGOT for Southampton at 0.76 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Wrexham vs Southampton?
    Wrexham beat Southampton 2-1 in the EFL Championship at STōK Cae Ras.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Kieffer Moore opened the scoring in the 35th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Kieffer Moore (35'), James Ward-Prowse (50'), Keven Schlotterbeck (89', og).
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Gavin Ward officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Wrexham vs Southampton kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time at STōK Cae Ras.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    5 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Wrexham play Sheffield Utd on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time. Southampton play QPR on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.