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Eredivisie · MW5Ref: Robin Hensgens
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Willem II 0-3 Excelsior result, stats and report

Willem II
Lost · xG 1.10
0 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.69
Excelsior
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Sparta Rotterdam v Willem II · Sat 17 Oct · SC Heerenveen v Excelsior · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Willem IIExcelsiorEredivisie

The provider forecast gives Excelsior win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

WIL
33.9%
Draw
23.9%
Excelsior
42.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.6%
Over 2.5 goals
61.4%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
24%
42%
33.9%WIL
23.9%Draw
42.2%Excelsior

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 61.6%No 38.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.4%No 38.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Excelsior or draw at 49.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.2%.

Double Chance

1X
45.6%
12
4.8%
X2
49.6%

Half-Time Result

WIL
26.9%
Draw
37.1%
Excelsior
36.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
WIL
Draw
Excelsior
WIL
19.3%
5.1%
3.2%
Draw
9.7%
13.8%
13.9%
Excelsior
2.1%
5.6%
27.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.2%
No
93.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.