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EFL Championship · MW9 Vicarage Road, WatfordRef: Andy Madley
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Watford 0-4 Burnley result, stats and report

Watford
Watford
Lost · xG 0.60
0 – 4
FT 05:35
Burnley
Won · xG 1.66
Burnley
Match review
Next: Norwich v Watford · Sat 31 Oct · Burnley v Portsmouth · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Watford vs Burnley?

Watford 0-4 Burnley, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

Burnley won it 4–0

WatfordBurnley

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 04:16Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Watford 0–4 Burnley

Burnley dismantled Watford with ruthless efficiency, scoring three times in the opening 25 minutes to end any contest before half-time. Jacob Bruun Larsen, Zeki Amdouni, and Reo Hatate did the damage, and Marcus Edwards added a fourth late on to complete a comprehensive away win.

EFL ChampionshipSat 10 Oct, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Burnley won 4-0 away at Watford.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Watford 0.60 to Burnley 1.66 on expected goals.

First Goal
J
13'⚽
Jacob Bruun Larsen
RAssist: Reo Hatate
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Watford 0.60 xGBurnley 1.66 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Watford to win

49%Missed

Result

Watford0:4Burnley

Watford v Burnley

Our model leaned Watford to win at 49%. Watford 0-4 Burnley. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Watford host Burnley at Vicarage Road on Saturday, October 10th at 14:00 UTC in the Championship. Watford have won one of their last five matches; Burnley have lost all five. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Watford v Burnley · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Lucas PiresBurnley★ MOTM2 assists · 90 min8.6
  2. Jacob Bruun LarsenBurnley1 goal · 1 assist · 74 min8.3
  3. Grégoire Coudert90 min8.1
  4. Reo Hatate1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min7.9
  5. Marcus EdwardsBurnley1 goal · 28 min7.6

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

WatfordBurnleyEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Watford win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Watford
49.3%
Draw
25.6%
Burnley
25.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.4%
Over 2.5 goals
49.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Watford win was the highest probability; the match result was Burnley win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Burnley, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Burnley, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Watford, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Watford, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Watford and Burnley, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 3/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (75%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 43league matches away from home unbeaten for Burnley.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Watford scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Burnley scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Watford have averaged 0.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Watford vs Burnley?
    Burnley beat Watford 4-0 in the EFL Championship at Vicarage Road.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jacob Bruun Larsen opened the scoring in the 13th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jacob Bruun Larsen (13'), Zeki Amdouni (19'), Reo Hatate (25'), Marcus Edwards (87').
  • Who refereed the match?
    Andy Madley officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Watford vs Burnley kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time at Vicarage Road.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Watford play Norwich on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. Burnley play Portsmouth on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.