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Liga Portugal · MW5Ref: Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Vitória Guimarães 0-0 Casa Pia result, stats and report

Vitória Guimarães
Drew · xG 0.98
0 – 0
FT
Drew · xG 0.12
Casa Pia
Next: Vitória Guimarães v Marítimo · Fri 23 Oct · Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Vitória GuimarãesCasa PiaLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Vitória Guimarães win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

VDG
53.4%
Draw
24.9%
CAS
21.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.3%
Over 2.5 goals
49.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

53%
25%
22%
53.4%VDG
24.9%Draw
21.7%CAS

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.3%No 50.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.9%No 50.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VDG or draw at 61.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.9%.

Double Chance

1X
61.7%
12
7.9%
X2
30.5%

Half-Time Result

VDG
37.5%
Draw
45.9%
CAS
16.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
VDG
Draw
CAS
VDG
33.2%
4.2%
1.0%
Draw
20.3%
18.2%
7.0%
CAS
3.2%
4.6%
8.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.9%
No
91.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.