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Vitória Guimarães vs Arouca has finished in Liga Portugal.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Vitória Guimarães 0 Arouca 1, full time in Liga Portugal. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which did not land.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
18+ · Information, not advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware.org
The immutable pre-match Match Facts snapshot is still being reconciled. Current provider rows are not substituted into the completed-match archive.
Edge · SportSignals+
Closing-line value and settled EV for every pick in this match.
Open the Edge reviewCorrect means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Arouca
Arouca took all three points from the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques with a single second-half goal, holding firm against a Vitória side who produced 24 shots but just three on target in a performance that tells you everything about preparation and nothing about desire.
Arouca won 1-0 away at Vitória Guimarães.
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Arouca won against the run of the chances: Vitória Guimarães 2.38 to Arouca 0.31 on expected goals, which favoured Vitória Guimarães.
Arouca took all three points from the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques with a single second-half goal, holding firm against a Vitória side who produced 24 shots but just three on target in a performance that tells you everything about preparation and nothing about desire.
Read full review →Iván BarberoHyun-ju LeeOrest LebedenkoDylan NandínTony StrataOumar CamaraTelmo ArcanjoPablo GozálbezPedro SantosDiogo MonteiroMatija MitrovicMiguel NogueiraDiogo MonteiroOrest LebedenkoIgnacio de ArruabarrenaLohann DoucetMatija MitrovicExpected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Vitória Guimarães to win
Result
0:1VDG v ARO
How the result affects the Liga Portugal standings.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Marítimo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
The match finished 0-1 to Arouca.
Arouca won the match 1-0.
The match took place on Saturday, 8 August 2026.
Vitória Guimarães fell to Arouca 0-1 at home in Liga Portugal, a result that caught our model off guard. We had backed Vitória at 52% probability to win; the pick missed. Vitória's recent form showed one win, two draws and two losses across five matches, with both sides combining to score in 60% of their outings. Arouca arrived with two wins in their last five but capitalised on the day to secure an away victory. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Vitória Guimarães v Arouca · Liga Portugal ·
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