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UEFA Champions League · MW2 Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

Villarreal vs Napoli prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
13 Oct
Villarreal 34%Draw 25%Napoli 41%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Villarreal or Napoli?

Villarreal vs Napoli kicks off UK time in the UEFA Champions League. The match is at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Napoli has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw24.8%
Napoli41.0%
BTTS yes59.0%

Updated

Over 2.557.7%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
9.7
xG for
9 -0.7
Goals
10.1
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
8.3
xG for
7 -1.3
Goals
9.2
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
VillarrealNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Villarreal recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L11.69
2L21.42
3L21.61
4L00.93
5D23.12
6D20.90
NapoliNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Napoli recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W11.92
2L00.31
3L22.00
4L11.47
5W20.91
6W11.73
Villarreal have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 2 points against 8.2 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Villarreal generated 9.7 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 0.7 below that chance total. Napoli generated 8.3 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 7, 1.3 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Villarreal: 6 matches · Napoli: 6
Recent team comparison. Villarreal sample 6; Napoli sample 6.
MeasureVillarrealNapoli
Goals / game1.51.17
Conceded / game2.171
xG / game1.621.38
xG conceded / game1.681.53
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Villarreal v Napoli

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Villarreal11 starters
25Tenas
1Júnior
12Veiga
4Marín
15Mouriño
18Gueye
14Comesaña
11López
9Mikautadze
19Pépé
21Pino
Napoli11 starters
1Meret
13Rrahmani
22Lorenzo
37Spinazzola
3Gutiérrez
68Lobotka
99Anguissa
8McTominay
26Vergara
19Højlund
21Politano
Out / doubtful
🩹 Alfonso Pedraza injury · 🩹 Sergi Cardona injury · 🩹 Giovane injury · 🩹 Alessandro Buongiorno injury · 🩹 Alex Meret injury · 🩹 Frank Anguissa injury · 🩹 Scott McTominay injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Villarreal v Napoli · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Villarreal vs Napoli?
    Villarreal vs Napoli takes place on Tuesday 13 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the UEFA Champions League at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal.
  • How can I watch Villarreal vs Napoli?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for UEFA Champions League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Villarreal vs Napoli free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Villarreal vs Napoli are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 13 Oct, 20:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.