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La Liga · MW4 Estadio de la Cerámica, VillarrealRef: Jesús Gil Manzano
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Villarreal 2-3 Deportivo La Coruña result, stats and report

Villarreal
Lost · xG 1.61
2 – 3
FT
Won · xG 0.87
Deportivo La Coruña
Next: Villarreal v Napoli · Tue 13 Oct · Deportivo La Coruña v Levante · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

VillarrealDeportivo La CoruñaLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Villarreal win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.9%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Villarreal
44.9%
Draw
27.4%
COR
27.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.6%
Over 2.5 goals
50.4%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
27%
28%
44.9%Villarreal
27.4%Draw
27.7%COR

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.6%No 46.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.4%No 49.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Villarreal or draw at 49.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.2%.

Double Chance

1X
49.8%
12
8.0%
X2
42.3%

Half-Time Result

Villarreal
30.7%
Draw
46.7%
COR
22.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Villarreal
Draw
COR
Villarreal
22.2%
6.1%
2.4%
Draw
14.4%
20.3%
11.7%
COR
2.2%
5.0%
15.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.2%
No
92.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.