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2. Bundesliga · MW6 Volkswagen Arena, WolfsburgRef: Martin Petersen
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

VfL Wolfsburg 5-1 Darmstadt 98 result, stats and report

VfL Wolfsburg
Won · xG 1.68
5 – 1
FT 09:05
Lost · xG 1.04
Darmstadt 98
Next: VfL Bochum 1848 v VfL Wolfsburg · Fri 23 Oct · Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli · Fri 23 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

VfL WolfsburgDarmstadt 982. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives VfL Wolfsburg win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

VfL Wolfsburg
44.3%
Draw
26.4%
SVD
29.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.8%
Over 2.5 goals
52.2%

Full-time forecast audit: VfL Wolfsburg win was the highest probability; the match result was VfL Wolfsburg win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
26%
29%
44.3%VfL Wolfsburg
26.4%Draw
29.3%SVD

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.8%No 45.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.2%No 47.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
7.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VfL Wolfsburg or draw at 50.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.2%.

Double Chance

1X
50.0%
12
7.5%
X2
42.5%

Half-Time Result

VfL Wolfsburg
33.3%
Draw
38.6%
SVD
28.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Draw
SVD
VfL Wolfsburg
24.7%
5.8%
3.1%
Draw
13.7%
13.8%
10.8%
SVD
3.1%
5.4%
19.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.2%
No
92.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.