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2. Bundesliga · MW3Ref: Felix Wagner
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

VfL Bochum 1848 0-1 Osnabrück result, stats and report

VfL Bochum 1848
Lost · xG 0.82
0 – 1
FT 04:45
Won · xG 0.40
Osnabrück
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Kaiserslautern v VfL Bochum 1848 · Sat 17 Oct · DSC Arminia Bielefeld v Osnabrück · Sun 18 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

VfL Bochum 1848Osnabrück2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives VfL Bochum 1848 win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BOC
42.5%
Draw
24.4%
Osnabrück
33.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.7%
Over 2.5 goals
55.1%

Full-time forecast audit: VfL Bochum 1848 win was the highest probability; the match result was Osnabrück win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
24%
33%
42.5%BOC
24.4%Draw
33.0%Osnabrück

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.7%No 45.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.1%No 44.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Osnabrück or draw at 48.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.2%.

Double Chance

1X
44.8%
12
6.4%
X2
48.8%

Half-Time Result

BOC
28.5%
Draw
39.9%
Osnabrück
31.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BOC
Draw
Osnabrück
BOC
21.4%
4.6%
3.1%
Draw
11.6%
15.5%
12.1%
Osnabrück
2.9%
5.2%
23.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.2%
No
92.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.