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Valencia and Rayo Vallecano shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw at Mestalla, with both teams finding the net and the match delivering exactly the kind of open, scrappy football the numbers suggested it would.
The immutable snapshot of this match has not been published yet. Live rows are not substituted into the archive while that is pending, so the chart and the final statistics appear once it is.
The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.
📊 Match recap and data context
Valencia and Rayo Vallecano played to a 1-1 draw at Estadio de Mestalla. Our model favored a Valencia win at 40% probability, and the pick missed. Valencia came in off two wins in their last five matches, while Rayo arrived winless in that stretch with just one victory across their past five games. The teams' head-to-head record showed one prior meeting, which ended level. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
La Ligalost
Rayo Vallecano to win
Logged at 3.90 · bookmaker not recorded
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record 74cc464e-1389-44de-b2b6-ef764d9c111a · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Pre-match facts retained
The immutable pre-match Match Facts snapshot is still being reconciled. Current provider rows are not substituted into the completed-match archive.
Questions about this result
▸When and where was the match played?
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano kicked off on Thursday, 14 May 2026 UK time at Estadio de Mestalla.
▸When do they play next?
Valencia play Villarreal on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Rayo Vallecano play Elche on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
🎯 How the model called it
1 of 3 right
Valencia39.7%Wrong
Draw25.2%Landed
Rayo Vallecano35.1%
Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 55.4%, so the model leaned overWrong
Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 57.6%, so the model leaned yesRight
✦ Published Tip · settled
Immutable ledger
Rayo Vallecano to winLost
Logged at 3.90 · bookmaker not recorded
The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.