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Swiss Super League · MW9Ref: Zrinko Prskalo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Vaduz 1-2 Thun result, stats and report

Vaduz
Lost · xG 2.30
1 – 2
FT 01:25
Won · xG 1.65
Thun
Next: Grasshopper v Vaduz · Sat 31 Oct · Lausanne Sport v Thun · Sun 1 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

VaduzThunSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives Vaduz win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Vaduz
50.4%
Draw
22.2%
THU
27.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
70.1%
Over 2.5 goals
72.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Vaduz win was the highest probability; the match result was Thun win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

50%
22%
27%
50.4%Vaduz
22.2%Draw
27.4%THU

Both Teams to Score

70%
Yes 70.1%No 29.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

72%
Yes 72.0%No 28.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
50%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
5.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Vaduz or draw at 55.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 16.2%.

Double Chance

1X
55.8%
12
3.0%
X2
41.2%

Half-Time Result

Vaduz
36.5%
Draw
42.3%
THU
21.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Vaduz
Draw
THU
Vaduz
29.3%
5.1%
3.3%
Draw
19.6%
12.3%
8.0%
THU
3.7%
6.1%
12.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
16.2%
No
83.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.