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Ligue 1 · MW3Ref: Guillaume Paradis
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Troyes 2-6 Strasbourg result, stats and report

Troyes
Lost · xG 0.96
2 – 6
FT 09:15
Won · xG 2.03
Strasbourg
Next: Troyes v Lens · Sat 17 Oct · Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

TroyesStrasbourgLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Troyes win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

TRO
46.0%
Draw
24.6%
Strasbourg
29.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.4%
Over 2.5 goals
61.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Troyes win was the highest probability; the match result was Strasbourg win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
25%
29%
46.0%TRO
24.6%Draw
29.5%Strasbourg

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.4%No 39.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.1%No 38.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
39%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates TRO or draw at 56.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.0%.

Double Chance

1X
56.9%
12
5.5%
X2
37.6%

Half-Time Result

TRO
33.8%
Draw
43.2%
Strasbourg
23.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
TRO
Draw
Strasbourg
TRO
26.1%
4.8%
1.9%
Draw
16.7%
17.4%
9.9%
Strasbourg
3.2%
5.3%
14.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.0%
No
89.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.