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Ligue 1 · MW6Ref: Guillaume Paradis
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Troyes 0-2 Marseille result, stats and report

Troyes
Lost · xG 1.12
0 – 2
FT
Won · xG 1.20
Marseille
Next: Troyes v Le Mans · Sat 31 Oct · Marseille v Toulouse · Sun 1 Nov
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Who won Troyes vs Marseille?

Troyes 0-2 Marseille, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

Marseille won it 2–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 05:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Troyes 0–2 Marseille

Marseille made it look straightforward at Troyes, with Amine Harit's second-half finish and a stoppage-time penalty securing a 2-0 victory over a home side that lacked the basics to compete.

Key Takeaways
Result

Marseille won 2-0 away at Troyes.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
A
50'⚽
Amine Harit
EAssist: Emerson
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Troyes 1.12 xGMarseille 1.20 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'
📊 Match recap and data context

Marseille won 2-0 at Troyes in Ligue 1, with Amine Harit opening the scoring in the 50th minute and Himad Abdelli converting a penalty deep into stoppage time. Our model backed a Troyes win at 40 percent probability; the pick missed. Marseille controlled the second half after Harit's breakthrough, while Troyes failed to generate the attacking threat their recent form suggested. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Troyes v Marseille · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Jeffrey de LangeMarseille★ MOTM90 min7.6
  2. Nayef AguerdMarseille90 min7.3
  3. CJ Egan-RileyMarseille90 min7.2
  4. Amine HaritMarseille1 goal · 63 min7.2
  5. EmersonMarseille1 assist · 90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Troyes win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

TRO
39.9%
Draw
23.3%
Marseille
36.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.7%
Over 2.5 goals
64.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Troyes win was the highest probability; the match result was Marseille win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Marseille, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 14 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Marseille, the final recorded goal situation matched 17 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Troyes, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 14 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Troyes, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Troyes and Marseille, landing 2 times across 9 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5/9recorded league meetings saw both teams score (55.6%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 40league matches at home winless for Troyes.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Troyes scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Marseille scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Troyes have averaged 0.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Troyes vs Marseille?
    Marseille beat TRO 2-0 in the Ligue 1.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Amine Harit opened the scoring in the 50th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Amine Harit (50'), Himad Abdelli (98').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Guillaume Paradis officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    TRO vs Marseille kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    TRO play Troyes on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. Marseille play Toulouse on Sunday, 1 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.