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Ligue 1 · MW3 Stadium de Toulouse, ToulouseRef: Mathieu Vernice
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Toulouse 0-1 Lille result, stats and report

Toulouse
Lost · xG 2.71
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 1.03
Lille
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Toulouse v Strasbourg · Fri 6 Nov · Bodø / Glimt v Lille · Tue 3 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ToulouseLilleLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Lille win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Toulouse
31.6%
Draw
26.0%
Lille
42.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.9%
Over 2.5 goals
52.8%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
26%
42%
31.6%Toulouse
26.0%Draw
42.4%Lille

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.9%No 45.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 52.8%No 47.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lille or draw at 51.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.2%.

Double Chance

1X
41.4%
12
7.0%
X2
51.6%

Half-Time Result

Toulouse
24.4%
Draw
42.6%
Lille
33.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Toulouse
Draw
Lille
Toulouse
17.0%
5.3%
2.5%
Draw
10.7%
17.2%
15.4%
Lille
1.8%
5.8%
24.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.2%
No
95.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.