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Swiss Super League · MW4Ref: Johannes von Mandach
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Thun 2-4 Servette result, stats and report

Thun
Lost · xG 2.18
2 – 4
FT 09:45
Won · xG 1.81
Servette
Next: Thun v Basel · Sun 8 Nov · Servette v Zürich · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ThunServetteSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives Servette win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

THU
34.4%
Draw
25.8%
SER
39.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.2%
Over 2.5 goals
57.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Servette win was the highest probability; the match result was Servette win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
26%
40%
34.4%THU
25.8%Draw
39.8%SER

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.2%No 40.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.0%No 43.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SER or draw at 50.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.9%.

Double Chance

1X
43.6%
12
5.8%
X2
50.6%

Half-Time Result

THU
28.3%
Draw
39.4%
SER
32.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
THU
Draw
SER
THU
19.4%
5.9%
3.6%
Draw
11.4%
14.3%
12.6%
SER
2.8%
5.7%
24.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.9%
No
94.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.