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UEFA Europa LeagueRef: Halil Umut Meler
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Thun 2-2 Lech Poznań result, stats and report

Thun
Drew · xG 0.87
2 – 2
FT
Drew · xG 1.27
Lech Poznań
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Zürich v Thun · Sat 10 Oct · Śląsk Wrocław v Lech Poznań · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ThunLech PoznańUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Lech Poznań win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

THU
28.0%
Draw
22.4%
LEC
49.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
63.0%
Over 2.5 goals
65.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

28%
22%
50%
28.0%THU
22.4%Draw
49.6%LEC

Both Teams to Score

63%
Yes 63.0%No 37.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

65%
Yes 65.0%No 35.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
43%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LEC or draw at 61.7%; the most likely half-time state is LEC leading at half-time at 43.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.6%.

Double Chance

1X
34.2%
12
4.1%
X2
61.7%

Half-Time Result

THU
20.2%
Draw
36.2%
LEC
43.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
THU
Draw
LEC
THU
12.6%
3.8%
3.1%
Draw
9.5%
12.4%
14.7%
LEC
2.3%
5.6%
36.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.6%
No
94.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.