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UEFA Europa League · Wed, 16 Sept 2026, 20:00 KO Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
16 Sept
Sunderland 36%Draw 24%AZ Alkmaar 40%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

SunderlandAZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives AZ Alkmaar win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.2%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Sunderland
35.9%
Draw
23.9%
AZ Alkmaar
40.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.3%
Over 2.5 goals
54.8%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
24%
40%
35.9%Sunderland
23.9%Draw
40.2%AZ Alkmaar

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.3%No 46.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.8%No 45.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.8%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AZ Alkmaar or draw at 57.0%; the most likely half-time state is AZ Alkmaar leading at half-time at 39.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.6%.

Double Chance

1X
36.8%
12
6.2%
X2
57.0%

Half-Time Result

Sunderland
20.7%
Draw
39.6%
AZ Alkmaar
39.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Sunderland
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
Sunderland
14.1%
4.1%
3.1%
Draw
10.5%
14.2%
15.1%
AZ Alkmaar
1.7%
5.4%
31.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.6%
No
94.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.