Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
UEFA Europa League · MW1 Stadium of Light, SunderlandRef: Jérémie Pignard
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sunderland 1-0 AZ Alkmaar result, stats and report

Sunderland
Won · xG 2.97
1 – 0
FT 12:55
Lost · xG 1.53
AZ Alkmaar
Next: Sunderland v Brentford · Wed 28 Oct · AZ Alkmaar v Twente · Sun 25 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SunderlandAZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives AZ Alkmaar win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Sunderland
31.1%
Draw
23.0%
AZ Alkmaar
45.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.8%
Over 2.5 goals
56.9%

Full-time forecast audit: AZ Alkmaar win was the highest probability; the match result was Sunderland win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

31%
23%
46%
31.1%Sunderland
23.0%Draw
45.9%AZ Alkmaar

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.8%No 45.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.9%No 43.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AZ Alkmaar or draw at 59.6%; the most likely half-time state is AZ Alkmaar leading at half-time at 41.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.0%.

Double Chance

1X
34.8%
12
5.7%
X2
59.6%

Half-Time Result

Sunderland
19.0%
Draw
39.5%
AZ Alkmaar
41.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Sunderland
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
Sunderland
13.0%
3.6%
2.3%
Draw
9.6%
13.4%
16.7%
AZ Alkmaar
1.4%
5.1%
35.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.0%
No
95.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.