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UEFA Europa League · MW3

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Sturm Graz vs Marseille prediction, odds and how to watch

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Kickoff
22 Oct
STU 42%Draw 23%Marseille 35%
Marseille
Marseille
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Sturm Graz or Marseille?

Sturm Graz vs Marseille kicks off UK time in the UEFA Europa League. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

STU has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
STU42.0%
Draw22.9%
Marseille35.1%
BTTS yes57.8%

Updated

Over 2.559.4%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
6.8
xG for
5▼ -1.8
Goals
10.1
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
MarseilleMarseille
9.4
xG for
8▼ -1.4
Goals
12.1
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
Sturm GrazNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Sturm Graz recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L00.58
2D00.80
3W22.17
4L10.46
5D11.87
6W10.89
MarseilleNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Marseille recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L11.67
2L10.98
3L01.00
4L21.65
5L01.87
6W42.27
Sturm Graz have taken more points than their chances were worth: 8 points against 5.9 expected. Marseille have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 3 points against 7.4 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Sturm Graz generated 6.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 5, 1.8 below that chance total. Marseille generated 9.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 8, 1.4 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

STU: 6 matches · Marseille: 6
Recent team comparison. Sturm Graz sample 6; Marseille sample 6.
MeasureSturm GrazMarseille
Goals / game0.831.33
Conceded / game1.332
xG / game1.131.57
xG conceded / game1.682.02
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Sturm Graz v Marseille

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~16:45
STUMarseille
STU11 starters
53Khudyakov
17Karic
2Mitchell
5Vallci
30Koller
23Malic
43Hödl
4Stankovic
22Beck
39Weinhandl
20Jatta
Marseille11 starters
12Lange
22Weahdoubt
4Egan-Riley
33Emerson
32Medina
23Højbjerg
8Gomes
11Harit
9Gouiri
10Greenwood
14Paixão
Out / doubtful
🩹 Otar Kiteishvili injury · 🩹 Seedy Jatta injury · ❓ Axel Kayombo suspended · ❓ Niklas Geyrhofer suspended · 🩹 Filip Rózga injury · 🩹 Gizo Mamageishvili injury · ❓ Timothy Weah suspended · 🩹 Geoffrey Kondogbia injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Sturm Graz v Marseille · UEFA Europa League ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Sturm Graz vs Marseille?
    Sturm Graz vs Marseille takes place on Thursday 22 October at 17:45 (UK time) in the UEFA Europa League.
  • How can I watch Sturm Graz vs Marseille?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for UEFA Europa League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Sturm Graz vs Marseille free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Sturm Graz vs Marseille are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 22 Oct, 17:45 BST

Other qualifying Tips

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Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.