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League One · MW10Ref: Abigail Byrne
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Stevenage 1-0 Wigan Athletic result, stats and report

Stevenage
Won · xG 1.98
1 – 0
FT 05:15
Lost · xG 0.21
Wigan Athletic
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Leicester v Stevenage · Sat 31 Oct · Leicester v Wigan Athletic · Tue 27 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

StevenageWigan AthleticLeague One

The provider forecast gives Stevenage win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

STV
44.2%
Draw
26.8%
WIG
29.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.8%
Over 2.5 goals
45.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Stevenage win was the highest probability; the match result was Stevenage win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
27%
29%
44.2%STV
26.8%Draw
29.0%WIG

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.8%No 49.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

46%
Yes 45.9%No 54.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
2-0
8.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STV or draw at 52.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.5%.

Double Chance

1X
52.0%
12
8.3%
X2
39.6%

Half-Time Result

STV
30.9%
Draw
46.1%
WIG
23.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
STV
Draw
WIG
STV
23.1%
5.4%
1.9%
Draw
15.6%
18.0%
12.2%
WIG
2.4%
5.5%
16.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.5%
No
94.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.