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League One · MW6Ref: Ben Toner
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Stevenage 2-1 Luton Town result, stats and report

Stevenage
Won · xG 1.39
2 – 1
FT 15:55
Lost · xG 1.03
Luton Town
Next: Leicester v Stevenage · Sat 31 Oct · Luton Town v Doncaster Rovers · Tue 27 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

StevenageLuton TownLeague One

The provider forecast gives Luton Town win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

STV
34.6%
Draw
25.9%
LUT
39.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.0%
Over 2.5 goals
55.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Luton Town win was the highest probability; the match result was Stevenage win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

35%
26%
39%
34.6%STV
25.9%Draw
39.5%LUT

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.0%No 42.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.0%No 45.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUT or draw at 48.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.0%.

Double Chance

1X
45.4%
12
6.3%
X2
48.3%

Half-Time Result

STV
27.3%
Draw
44.2%
LUT
28.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
STV
Draw
LUT
STV
19.6%
4.7%
2.5%
Draw
11.9%
18.1%
13.2%
LUT
2.1%
5.5%
22.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.0%
No
95.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.