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Standard Liège fell to Sporting Charleroi 0-2 in the Belgian Pro League. Our model backed Charleroi at 43 percent probability, and the pick landed. The result defied Standard's recent form; they had won four of their last five matches and posted an 80 percent both-teams-to-score rate over that span. Charleroi, meanwhile, had managed just three wins in five games prior to this fixture. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The result leaves Standard Liège in eighth position despite their recent winning run, suggesting inconsistency at the business end of the season. Charleroi climbed from 11th with three points, though their 20% BTTS rate indicates they remain defensive-minded operators. Our model flagged Standard's low clean sheet percentage as a vulnerability; this loss exposed that weakness decisively and halted their momentum.
Standard Liège failed to register a goal despite generating 2.00 xG, extending their clean sheet vulnerability to 80% of recent matches. The hosts had won four of their previous five games, including a 5-0 demolition of Antwerp, yet offered little resistance to Charleroi's attack. They remain eighth in the table with 13 goals scored this season, but this shutout loss marked a significant departure from their recent attacking form.
Sporting Charleroi secured a 2-0 victory away from home, maintaining their defensive solidity with a clean sheet; their 60% clean sheet rate over five games reflects disciplined setup. The visitors had won two of their last three matches and capitalized on Standard's rare off-night. Charleroi's 6 goals for and 3 against this season underscore a team built on defensive foundations rather than attacking prowess.