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Scottish Premiership · MW6Ref: Ryan Lee
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

St. Mirren 1-2 Celtic result, stats and report

St. Mirren
Lost · xG 2.10
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 2.66
Celtic
Next: Aberdeen v St. Mirren · Sat 17 Oct · Motherwell v Celtic · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

St. MirrenCelticScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives Celtic win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

STM
27.7%
Draw
24.4%
CEL
47.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.1%
Over 2.5 goals
59.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

28%
24%
48%
27.7%STM
24.4%Draw
47.9%CEL

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.1%No 39.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 59.6%No 40.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CEL or draw at 54.7%; the most likely half-time state is CEL leading at half-time at 37.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.2%.

Double Chance

1X
40.3%
12
5.0%
X2
54.7%

Half-Time Result

STM
26.3%
Draw
36.3%
CEL
37.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
STM
Draw
CEL
STM
16.3%
5.5%
3.4%
Draw
9.2%
13.5%
14.3%
CEL
1.7%
5.7%
30.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.2%
No
95.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.