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St. Johnstone survived a frantic second-half comeback attempt from Kilmarnock to claim a 4-3 victory in a remarkable opening-day encounter, despite being outshot and outpossessed for large portions of the match.
St. Johnstone survived a frantic second-half comeback attempt from Kilmarnock to claim a 4-3 victory in a remarkable opening-day encounter, despite being outshot and outpossessed for large portions of the match.
Scottish PremiershipSun 2 Aug, 14:00
Key Takeaways
Result
St. Johnstone beat Kilmarnock 4-3 at home.
Goals
7 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: St. Johnstone 2.74 to Kilmarnock 1.57 on expected goals.
First Goal
J
16'⚽
Josh Fowler
JAssist: Jamie Gullan
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Johnstone 2.74 xGKilmarnock 1.57 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
St. Johnstone to win
57%Matched
Result
4:3
STJ v KIL
Our model called St. Johnstone to win at 57%. St. Johnstone 4-3 Kilmarnock. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
St. Johnstone beat Kilmarnock 4-3 in a Scottish Premiership match that delivered the goals both sides had shown in recent form. Our model backed a St. Johnstone win at 57% probability, and the pick landed. St. Johnstone arrived in strong recent form with one win in their last five outings, while Kilmarnock had won two of their last five. Both teams found the net, extending St. Johnstone's streak of games with goals at both ends. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
St. Johnstone v Kilmarnock · Scottish Premiership ·
No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Josh Fowler opened the scoring in the 16th minute.
▸Who scored in the match?
Josh Fowler (16'), Greg Kiltie (37'), C. Diabate (47'), Joe Hugill (49'), J. Holt (53', og), Michael Schjönning-Larsen (69', og), Kai Fotheringham (80').
▸How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
▸Who refereed the match?
John Beaton officiated.
▸When and where was the match played?
STJ vs KIL kicked off on Sunday, 2 August 2026 UK time.
▸How many corners were there in the match?
9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
▸Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was St. Johnstone to win, and it landed.
▸When do they play next?
STJ play St. Johnstone on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. KIL play Kilmarnock on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
🎯 How the model called it
3 of 3 right
STJ56.7%Right
Draw21.7%
KIL21.6%
Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 53.5%, so the model leaned overRight
Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 50.2%, so the model leaned yesRight