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Scottish Premiership · MW6Ref: Steven McLean
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

St. Johnstone 2-1 Hibernian result, stats and report

St. Johnstone
Won · xG 2.39
2 – 1
FT 10:45
Lost · xG 1.70
Hibernian
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: St. Johnstone v Dundee United · Sat 17 Oct · Hibernian v Falkirk · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

St. JohnstoneHibernianScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives St. Johnstone win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

STJ
41.7%
Draw
27.1%
HIB
31.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.5%
Over 2.5 goals
47.5%

Full-time forecast audit: St. Johnstone win was the highest probability; the match result was St. Johnstone win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
27%
31%
41.7%STJ
27.1%Draw
31.2%HIB

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.5%No 50.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 47.5%No 52.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STJ or draw at 55.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.8%.

Double Chance

1X
55.5%
12
8.6%
X2
36.0%

Half-Time Result

STJ
37.4%
Draw
40.8%
HIB
21.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
STJ
Draw
HIB
STJ
30.5%
5.0%
1.9%
Draw
15.4%
16.6%
8.9%
HIB
2.7%
4.9%
14.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.8%
No
93.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.