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Scottish Premiership · MW3Ref: Matthew Cain MacDermid
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

St. Johnstone 0-1 Celtic result, stats and report

St. Johnstone
Lost · xG 1.05
0 – 1
FT 16:25
Won · xG 1.80
Celtic
Next: St. Johnstone v Dundee · Sat 7 Nov · Celtic v Beşiktaş · Thu 5 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

St. JohnstoneCelticScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives Celtic win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

STJ
35.5%
Draw
24.4%
CEL
40.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
63.9%
Over 2.5 goals
63.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Celtic win was the highest probability; the match result was Celtic win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
24%
40%
35.5%STJ
24.4%Draw
40.1%CEL

Both Teams to Score

64%
Yes 63.9%No 36.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 63.7%No 36.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
1-0
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STJ or draw at 48.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.7%.

Double Chance

1X
48.2%
12
4.2%
X2
47.6%

Half-Time Result

STJ
31.1%
Draw
37.2%
CEL
31.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
STJ
Draw
CEL
STJ
22.5%
5.6%
2.8%
Draw
12.2%
14.7%
10.9%
CEL
2.8%
5.8%
22.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.7%
No
92.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.