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2. Bundesliga · MW6Ref: Christian Ballweg
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 Magdeburg result, stats and report

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Drew · xG 0.89
1 – 1
FT 09:05
Drew · xG 0.76
Magdeburg
Next: Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Sun 25 Oct · Magdeburg v Karlsruher SC · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SpVgg Greuther FürthMagdeburg2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Magdeburg win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

GRF
27.8%
Draw
21.3%
MAG
50.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.0%
Over 2.5 goals
67.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Magdeburg win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

28%
21%
51%
27.8%GRF
21.3%Draw
50.9%MAG

Both Teams to Score

64%
Yes 64.0%No 36.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

68%
Yes 67.8%No 32.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
45%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
0-2
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MAG or draw at 56.2%; the most likely half-time state is MAG leading at half-time at 42.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.6%.

Double Chance

1X
40.3%
12
3.5%
X2
56.2%

Half-Time Result

GRF
24.5%
Draw
33.1%
MAG
42.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
GRF
Draw
MAG
GRF
15.3%
5.0%
3.9%
Draw
8.2%
11.6%
14.4%
MAG
1.9%
5.2%
34.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.6%
No
94.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.